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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aviato | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (1878–321, n=2199) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $204K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #808 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 98% (49 of 50 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 67% (22 of 33 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=423 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 2584 at avg 86¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 8% of 253) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 29% of 28) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 66% of 44) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 87% (won 98% of 2259) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aviato | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $45K | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $353 | — | — | No $35K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $355 | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $384 | — | — | No $40K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |