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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpVenusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (907–892, n=1799)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$3.3M$3.0K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #740
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (16 of 29 open)69% (312 of 449 open)58% (69 of 118 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 47 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpVenusian
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $218KPacers $3.9K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $54KUnder $164
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $31KNo $1.5K
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $30KPelicans $569—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $25KOver $27
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $19KPelicans $742—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $14KBucks $2.1K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $8.7KUnder $277
Cali: Julia Grabher vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
——Julia Grabher $5.2KJulia Riera $594
Will Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $5.6KYes $2
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.6KYes $7
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $2.3K
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $10
Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.2KYes $284
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.6KUnder $166
Spread: Arsenal FC (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Slavia Praha
——SK Slavia Praha $2.1KArsenal FC $1
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.1KNo $275
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.4KYes $3
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $394Under $777
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $811Under $210
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CA Mineiro
——CA Mineiro $1.0KBotafogo FR $2
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $687Over $1
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $357Pacers $326—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $666Under $1
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $546Over $3
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $517No $7
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $370No $59
Will Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $398Yes $24
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $372Under $50
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $323Pelicans $69—
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
——Racing Club de Lens $119Como 1907 $250
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $80No $250
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $271Over $5
Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $126No $80
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $177Over $4
Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
——Wolverhampton Wanderers FC $168Bristol City FC $2
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $143Over $3
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $100Yes $45
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $79No $40
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: FC Porto O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $88Over $12
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $83No $10
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $75Yes $2
SC Corinthians Paulista leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $42No $33
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $8No $50
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $14No $24
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $14
Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 2 SC Corinthians Paulista?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $5
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $90KPistons $4.7K—
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $29KNo $7.0K
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $33KNo $1.2K