Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Julia Riera — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Julia Riera
Cali: Julia Grabher vs Julia Riera
Resolved Julia Riera. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Julia Riera. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Julia Riera 33%
4 arb excluded
$11.2K
$-3.6K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 18 top traders (44%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Julia Grabheravg 18.6¢ | $2.9K | — | $-2.9K | 51% 24452-23135 (47587) |
HV HVAB | Julia Rieraavg 85.2¢ | $5.0K | $5.9K | +$871.86 | 76% 605-195 (800) |
 RN1CTR | Julia Grabheravg 19.4¢ | $756.85 | — | -$756.85 | 53% 60181-52537 (112718) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Julia Grabheravg 21.9¢ | $714.21 | — | -$714.21 | 52% 1242-1155 (2397) |
MA MadridTimeARB<$100 | Julia Rieraavg 86.5¢ | $1.1K | $1.0K | -$84.29 | 50% 1182-1169 (2351) |
| └ Julia Grabher leg | Julia Grabheravg 23.9¢ | $221.16 | — | -$221.16 | |
| └ Julia Riera leg | Julia Rieraavg 86.5¢ | $880.72 | $1.0K | +$136.87 | |
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100 | Julia Rieraavg 78.5¢ | $1.8K | $870.7 | +$59.42 | 52% 756-687 (1443) |
| └ Julia Riera leg | Julia Rieraavg 78.5¢ | $683.24 | $870.7 | +$179.38 | |
| └ Julia Grabher leg | Julia Grabheravg 20.8¢ | $116.81 | — | -$119.96 | |
TH thestingsnakeARB<$100 | Julia Rieraavg 79.1¢ | $998.3 | $938.39 | +$193.81 | 60% 4375-2933 (7308) |
| └ Julia Riera leg | Julia Rieraavg 79.1¢ | $742.44 | $938.39 | +$195.28 | |
| └ Julia Grabher leg | Julia Grabheravg 17.8¢ | $57 | — | -$1.47 | |
VE Venusian | Julia Rieraavg 78.9¢ | $1.0K | $1.3K | +$278.97 | 51% 1246-1188 (2434) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Julia Rieraavg 52.2¢ | $539.48 | $960.2 | +$420.72 | 50% 20843-21072 (41915) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Julia Grabheravg 25.8¢ | $217.66 | — | -$217.66 | 47% 11225-12583 (23808) |
LI LimousinCTR | Julia Grabheravg 19¢ | $162.61 | — | -$162.61 | 53% 1287-1130 (2417) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Julia Grabheravg 21.4¢ | $164.9 | — | -$164.9 | 46% 1416-1675 (3091) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Julia Grabheravg 22.8¢ | $126.77 | — | -$126.77 | 59% 31932-22560 (54492) |
DI dips.CTR | Julia Grabheravg 29.4¢ | $131.92 | — | -$131.92 | 47% 10417-11885 (22302) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | Julia Rieraavg 86.4¢ | $152.11 | $143.39 | -$8.72 | 52% 14262-13030 (27292) |
| └ Julia Grabher leg | Julia Grabheravg 21.2¢ | $28.22 | — | -$28.22 | |
| └ Julia Riera leg | Julia Rieraavg 86.4¢ | $123.88 | $143.39 | +$19.51 | |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Julia Grabheravg 23¢ | $23 | — | -$23 | 53% 22809-20010 (42819) |
BI BillBenter2026<$100 | Julia Rieraavg 75.7¢ | $50.7 | $67 | +$16.3 | 57% 19099-14121 (33220) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Julia Grabheravg 31¢ | $15.76 | — | -$15.76 | 57% 12394-9456 (21850) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Julia Rieraavg 77¢ | $6.38 | $5 | -$1.38 | 50% 25577-25281 (50858) |
YE yesmate<$100 | Julia Rieraavg 78¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 377-338 (715) |
EU Eulhunter<$100 | Julia Rieraavg 74.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 6201-5248 (11449) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Julia Rieraavg 80¢ | $8 | — | +$1.99 | 82% 7088-1551 (8639) |
Invested
$2,904.14
Value
—
PnL
$-2.9K
Record
51%
24452-23135 (47587)
Invested
$5,010.47
Value
$5.9K
PnL
+$871.86
Record
76%
605-195 (800)
RN1CTRInvested
$756.85
Value
—
PnL
-$756.85
Record
53%
60181-52537 (112718)
Invested
$714.21
Value
—
PnL
-$714.21
Record
52%
1242-1155 (2397)
Invested
$1,101.88
Value
$1.0K
PnL
-$84.29
Record
50%
1182-1169 (2351)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,758.14
Value
$870.7
PnL
+$59.42
Record
52%
756-687 (1443)
Both legs:
Invested
$998.3
Value
$938.39
PnL
+$193.81
Record
60%
4375-2933 (7308)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,041.28
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$278.97
Record
51%
1246-1188 (2434)
Invested
$539.48
Value
$960.2
PnL
+$420.72
Record
50%
20843-21072 (41915)
Invested
$217.66
Value
—
PnL
-$217.66
Record
47%
11225-12583 (23808)
Invested
$162.61
Value
—
PnL
-$162.61
Record
53%
1287-1130 (2417)
Invested
$164.9
Value
—
PnL
-$164.9
Record
46%
1416-1675 (3091)
Invested
$126.77
Value
—
PnL
-$126.77
Record
59%
31932-22560 (54492)
Invested
$131.92
Value
—
PnL
-$131.92
Record
47%
10417-11885 (22302)
Invested
$152.11
Value
$143.39
PnL
-$8.72
Record
52%
14262-13030 (27292)
Both legs:
Invested
$23
Value
—
PnL
-$23
Record
53%
22809-20010 (42819)
Invested
$50.7
Value
$67
PnL
+$16.3
Record
57%
19099-14121 (33220)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$15.76
Value
—
PnL
-$15.76
Record
57%
12394-9456 (21850)
Invested
$6.38
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.38
Record
50%
25577-25281 (50858)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
377-338 (715)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
6201-5248 (11449)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
+$1.99
Record
82%
7088-1551 (8639)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
CTRJulia Grabher — $0
HVAB
Julia Riera — $5.9K
RN1
CTRJulia Grabher — $0
LightParadox
CTRJulia Grabher — $0
MadridTime
ARBArbitrage — excluded
1lovejump
ARBArbitrage — excluded
thestingsnake
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Venusian
Julia Riera — $1.3K
omnibus-076daa
Julia Riera — $960.2
topdogbigboi
CTRJulia Grabher — $0