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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677rayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)87% (2312–346, n=2658)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL—$5.6M$30K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position66% (46 of 70 open)66% (150 of 226 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +42 pts n=901, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)2% (won 95% of 21)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)32% (won 98% of 318)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)51% (won 98% of 504)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 98% of 137)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4joseph00677rayvanmechelenRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini
——Ugo Humbert $11Matteo Berrettini $14K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
——Laura Samson $10Carole Monnet $9.0K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
opposite sides · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
——Mika Brunold $10Nishesh Basavareddy $7.6K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $7Yes $2.9K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
——Alice Tubello $10Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K
FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $9Over $930
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
——Gonzalo Bueno $10Eduardo Ribeiro $645
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2Over $535
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $9Thunder $273
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $9Grizzlies $119
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $10Over $89
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $9Over $86
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
——Hernan Casanova $2Juan Manuel La Serna $13
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3Yes $3
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $974Over $7.1K
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $11No $5.6K
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
——Jerome Kym $9Jerome Kym $3.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $371No $2.5K
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $29No $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $169Over $1.5K
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $15Under $783
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Pelicans $2Pelicans $236
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $82Over $81
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $2Pelicans $126
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $109Over $15
Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $3No $104
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $9No $66
Birmingham City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1Under $57
Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $50No $3
Will SK Beveren win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $9No $20
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $9Under $15