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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
botbotRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)59% (312–220, n=532)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$597K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #886PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus11% (1 of 9 open)63% (91 of 145 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won74% of 456 at avg 45¢, ROI +14%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 38% of 96)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 80% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 85% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 96% of 47)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbotbotRN1BreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11K—No $252K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5KBrowns $255K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $192Raiders $171K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11KCardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $620—No $747
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $74K—Yes $37K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3KRaiders $104K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $66K—No $35K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643Jaguars $20K