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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cambridgeisaac | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (579–405, n=984) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $58K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #867 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (53 of 91 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (12 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=148 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 1369 at avg 65¢, ROI +7% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 259) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 28% of 109) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 72% of 152) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 92% of 849) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.