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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cambridgeisaac | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (579–405, n=984) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $58K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #867 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (54 of 89 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 63% (29 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=148 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 1369 at avg 65¢, ROI +7% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 259) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 28% of 109) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 72% of 152) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 92% of 849) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cambridgeisaac | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.7K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | — | No $22K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | — | No $10K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $155 | — | No $590 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $296 | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $548 | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22 | — | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $146 | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $118 | — | Yes $2.3K | — |