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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| carlos484 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (24–14, n=38) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $51K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #447 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 66% (105 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (73 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 37 at avg 66¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 0% of 5) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 0% of 4) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 67% of 6) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 22) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | carlos484 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | — | Browns $255K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $192 | — | Raiders $171K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | — | — | No $35K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | — | Raiders $17K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | — | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | — | Yes $272K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | — | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | — | Cardinals $35K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | — | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | — | Jaguars $20K |