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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cowcatRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)57% (1103–822, n=1925)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$74K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #455PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus62% (110 of 177 open)63% (87 of 138 open)70% (57 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won84% of 1653 at avg 70¢, ROI +8%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 26% of 274)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 75% of 118)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 91% of 169)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up66% (won 99% of 1092)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcowcatRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $51Browns $300K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $3.4KBrowns $259K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.9K—Yes $172K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $255Raiders $105K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.6K—No $40K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $23Cardinals $32K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.3KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $611Cardinals $2.7K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.3K—No $202K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $4.9K—No $88K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $780—Yes $85K
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $222—Yes $21K