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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cowcat | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (1103–822, n=1925) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #455 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (27 of 65 open) | 66% (101 of 153 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1653 at avg 70¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 26% of 274) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 75% of 118) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 91% of 169) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 99% of 1092) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cowcat | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | Browns $255K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $192 | Raiders $171K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.6K | — | No $40K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.5K | — | No $24K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | Raiders $17K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $8.0K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | Falcons $8.6K | — |
| Titans vs. Bengals opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $7.0K | Titans $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.3K | — | No $590 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.6K | — | No $184K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | Raiders $104K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5.1K | — | No $90K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $858 | — | Yes $77K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | Cardinals $35K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | Raiders $24K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | Jaguars $20K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.0K | — | No $10K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $2.4K | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $581 | — | Yes $2.2K | — |