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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cowcat | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (1103–822, n=1925) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $4.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #455 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (26 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1654 at avg 70¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 26% of 274) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 75% of 118) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 91% of 169) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 99% of 1093) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.