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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| debased | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (697–810, n=1507) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #982 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (39 of 64 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=403 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 1303 at avg 36¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 60% (won 4% of 778) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 47% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 59) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 96% of 404) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | debased | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.8K | Yes $270K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.6K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $855 | No $250K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | No $202K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | — | Commanders $433 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $750 | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | — | Commanders $125 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $609 | Yes $14K | — | — |