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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph006770x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
| extractive-manatee | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (510–967, n=1477) | 66% (872–458, n=1330) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $44K | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #25 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 39% (17 of 44 open) | 73% (95 of 130 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −1 pts, n=322 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 22% of 1570 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 71% (won 5% of 1111) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 42% of 185) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 91% of 144) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.