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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| god83743894 | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (3388–9052, n=12440) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (15433–15507, n=30940) | 50% (20827–20526, n=41353) |
| Consensus PnL | -$133K | $5.3M | $3.1M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #238 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (244 of 345 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (86 of 154 open) | 67% (41 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −7 pts, n=5548 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 28% of 8247 at avg 33¢, ROI −5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 69% (won 1% of 5687) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 40% of 158) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 54% of 213) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 96% of 2189) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.