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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gopfan2CORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)56% (597–471, n=1068)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.7M$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #370 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus87% (40 of 46 open)0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won74% of 1204 at avg 58¢, ROI +13%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 17% of 261)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 75% of 197)56% (won 99% of 223)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 87% of 219)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 96% of 527)2% (won 100% of 7)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgopfan2CORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $242——Yes $272K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $241——No $102K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $279——Yes $73K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $17K——Yes $28K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.5K——No $35K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.6K——Yes $37K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $18K——No $22K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——No $10K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $35K——Yes $169K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.3K——Yes $38K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.9K——No $40K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $13K——No $24K
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1K——Yes $21K