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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hi774cBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)51% (3867–3704, n=7571)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$142K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #256PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus52% (14 of 27 open)72% (78 of 108 open)0% (0 of 4 open)61% (19 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3516 at avg 48¢, ROI +48%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 247)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 1924)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 1126)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 99% of 219)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markethi774cBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Jets $284
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $3.2K——Bills $4.5K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $395
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171K—Raiders $5.8K
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $2.3KMagic $24K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.2K——Over $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cardinals $1.1K