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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| hideo | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 79% (239–62, n=301) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $120K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (8 of 9 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 55% (65 of 119 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=116 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 341 at avg 83¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 8% of 12) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 43% of 14) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 52% of 25) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 85% (won 92% of 290) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hideo | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $87K | No $184K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | No $252K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $92K | Yes $77K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.3K | No $35K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | Yes $169K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |