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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
immanuelcanBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (671–539, n=1210)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$39K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #955PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (30 of 48 open)72% (74 of 103 open)62% (91 of 146 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=285, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=128, ROI +29%
  • NHL +36 pts n=29, ROI +31%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won85% of 820 at avg 55¢, ROI +24%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 29% of 109)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 90% of 201)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 93% of 287)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 96% of 223)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketimmanuelcanBreakTheBankRN1
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $192
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14No $35K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $643No $16K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $146Yes $77K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $12Yes $37K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643