Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
immanuelcanRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)55% (671–539, n=1210)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$39K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #955PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus63% (30 of 48 open)53% (71 of 133 open)72% (75 of 104 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=285, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=128, ROI +29%
  • NHL +36 pts n=29, ROI +31%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won85% of 820 at avg 55¢, ROI +24%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 29% of 109)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 90% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 93% of 287)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 96% of 223)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketimmanuelcanRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14—No $35K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $643—No $16K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $28KBills $378K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $146—Yes $77K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $12—Yes $37K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K