← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | Robbb | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 83% (2411–480, n=2891) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.6M | $14.8M | $94K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | was PM monthly #996 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 57% (80 of 141 open) | 81% (87 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | College Football −23 pts, n=36 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 10% of 139) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 6% (won 34% of 116) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 12% (won 68% of 220) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 75% (won 96% of 1388) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.