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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5014–3415, n=8429) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (16 of 35 open) | 74% (73 of 99 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 50% (7 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $465K | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $775 | — | Cardinals $11K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $1.7K | — | — | Broncos $1.1K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | Dolphins $253 | — | — | Patriots $1.8K |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $38 | — | — | Patriots $57 |
| Spread: Patriots (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $23 | — | — | Patriots $14 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $5.4K | Chiefs $152K | — | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | Steelers $2.4K | — | Steelers $9.1K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $230 | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $19 | — | Under $2.1K | — |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.6K | — | — | Over $22 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Broncos | Chiefs $160 | Chiefs $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-4.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $161 | — | — | Dolphins $79 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $11 | — | — | Over $4 |