← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5050–3471, n=8521) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (31 of 53 open) | 50% (10 of 20 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $50 | Commanders $3.6K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $815 | Over $644 | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $65 | Under $476 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $69 | Commanders $26 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $38 | Eagles $5.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $12 | Commanders $2.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-9.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $35 | Eagles $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $48 | Commanders $1.5K | — | — |
| Senators vs. Ducks same side · consensus Senators | Ducks $182 | Ducks $657 | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $143 | Over $259 | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $18 | Raptors $4 | — | — |
| Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $6 | Over $10 | — | — |