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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | beachboy4 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5050–3471, n=8521) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (22 of 48 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | beachboy4 | RN1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $815 | — | Over $678 | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $65 | — | Under $476 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $50 | — | Commanders $433 | — |
| Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | Under $99 | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $12 | — | Eagles $27 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $38 | — | Eagles $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-9.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $35 | — | Eagles $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $48 | — | Commanders $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-2.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $80 | — | Commanders $1.4K | — |
| Senators vs. Ducks same side · consensus Senators | Ducks $24 | — | Ducks $657 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $509 | — | Commanders $125 | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $143 | — | Over $259 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Raptors $18 | — | Raptors $4 | — |