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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lava-lava | primm | RN1 | TeGeeLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (149–134, n=283) | 75% (9–3, n=12) | 48% (92–101, n=193) | 50% (46–46, n=92) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $91K | -$77K | $382K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #36 + pinned | PM monthly #437 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (39 of 62 open) | 54% (7 of 13 open) | 61% (86 of 141 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
|
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| Weakest topic | Finance −17 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | — | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 51% of 90 at avg 47¢, ROI +15% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 9% of 93) | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 16% (won 36% of 14) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 48% of 64) | — | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 44% (won 43% of 40) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 67% of 54) | — | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 32% (won 62% of 29) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 92% of 65) | — | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 8% (won 86% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lava-lava | primm | RN1 | TeGeeLP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Vikings opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Vikings $12K | Bills $18K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Vikings $18K | Bills $3.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Vikings $9.1K | Bills $3.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $6.0K | Bills $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Vikings (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Vikings $1.7K | Bills $3.8K | — |
| Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $395 | Under $3.5K | — |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Vikings $887 | Bills $1.9K | — |
| Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $31K | Under $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) same side · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $359 | Vikings $1.3K | — |
| Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $11 | Over $9 | — |