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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lpgb | joseph00677 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (187–502, n=689) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $27K | $5.3M | $10.6M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (93 of 116 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (146 of 164 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=42 | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 258 at avg 22¢, ROI −7% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 79% (won 0% of 204) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 13% of 8) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 62% of 13) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 91% of 33) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
40 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.