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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| mombil | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (1082–757, n=1839) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $504K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #707 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (44 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (16 of 26 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 2120 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 10% of 1032) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 52% of 250) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 70% of 255) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 95% of 583) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | mombil | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $551 | — | — | No $112K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.1K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.3K | — | — | Yes $270K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $903 | — | — | Yes $30K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $411 | — | — | Yes $14K |