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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| mombil | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (1089–759, n=1848) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) |
| Consensus PnL | $504K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #707 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (47 of 70 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 2120 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 10% of 1032) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 52% of 250) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 70% of 255) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 95% of 583) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | mombil | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $546 | — | No $114K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.2K | — | Yes $33K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.4K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $994 | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $428 | — | Yes $14K | — |