Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mrworldwideBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)76% (795–251, n=1046)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$220K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #397PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus79% (38 of 48 open)72% (73 of 102 open)53% (64 of 120 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −4 pts, n=192———
Settled positions, side won73% of 1075 at avg 67¢, ROI +7%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 9% of 155)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 52% of 113)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 63% of 227)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 97% of 580)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmrworldwideBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13KYes $37K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $12KNo $35K——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5KNo $102K——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21Yes $73K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4KYes $4.1K——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $3.7KNo $590——