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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | reykreyk | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) | 59% (13–9, n=22) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $19K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #56 | was PM monthly #977 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (66 of 117 open) |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 14 at avg 47¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 50% (won 100% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | reykreyk | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lions (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Lions $11K | — | Dolphins $2.8K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $5.1K | — | Cowboys $1.3K |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Eagles $74 | — | Giants $874 |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $208 | — | Rams $68 |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $10 | — | Rams $179 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $41 | — | — | Yes $97 |
| Lions vs. Dolphins same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $47K | — | Lions $2.0K |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.6K | — | Over $1.3K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $872 | — | Under $3.9K |
| Spread: Lions (-14.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | Dolphins $1.6K | — | Dolphins $3 |
| Giants vs. Eagles same side · consensus Giants | — | Eagles $759 | — | Eagles $777 |