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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nonkenny90 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (4664–457, n=5121) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $87K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #959 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 96% (110 of 115 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 53% (57 of 108 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Finance −3 pts, n=168 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 5637 at avg 92¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 8% of 39) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 30% of 43) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 57% of 134) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 96% (won 95% of 5421) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nonkenny90 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | No $184K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $36K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $473 | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.2K | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |