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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (14291–14380, n=28671) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (38 of 66 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (7 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 59% of 872) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 86% of 2312) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 94% of 4141) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 3484) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $687 | Chiefs $465K | — | Broncos $7.4K |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $157 | Magic $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $304 | — | — | Rams $1.0K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $116 | Yes $73K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.9K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Chargers vs. Rams same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $64 | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |