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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
paddaa00gringo00RN1primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (290–269, n=559)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$211K$3.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #36 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus63% (54 of 86 open)no open consensus position65% (99 of 152 open)59% (19 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=167———
Settled positions, side won47% of 930 at avg 44¢, ROI +2%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 9% of 401)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 46% of 148)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 72% of 101)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 94% of 280)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpaddaa00gringo00RN1primm
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $1.8KBuccaneers $4.9K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $847Bills $4.5K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KUnder $990
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $591Buccaneers $2.0K
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $321Buccaneers $2.0K
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.0KUnder $1.2K
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Jets $2.1KRaiders $138
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $935Under $65
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
——Steelers $211Browns $471
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.9KUnder $2.8K
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
——Buccaneers $1.3KBuccaneers $1.6K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KOver $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Jaguars $1.8KJaguars $4
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $90Buccaneers $1.5K
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $271Under $828
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $546Over $2