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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qwen300.fund | BreakTheBank | surfandturf | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (2539–3997, n=6536) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) |
| Consensus PnL | $239K | $11.0M | -$77K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (178 of 192 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (12 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=1468 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 2980 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 2% of 1695) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 46% of 35) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 1223) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.