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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| scottilicious | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (689–139, n=828) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (33 of 42 open) | 79% (53 of 67 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto ±0 pts, n=75 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 1151 at avg 86¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 13% of 78) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 21% of 14) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 54% of 39) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 95% of 1020) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | scottilicious | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $283K | No $202K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $21 | No $253K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $70K | No $16K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.0K | Yes $38K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | Yes $28K | — |