← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| scottilicious | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (689–139, n=828) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (34 of 42 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 61% (19 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto ±0 pts, n=75 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 1151 at avg 86¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 13% of 78) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 21% of 14) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 54% of 39) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 95% of 1020) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | scottilicious | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $284K | No $184K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $20 | No $252K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $70K | No $21K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $87K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $696 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.9K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Jets $284 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $378K | — | Bills $395 |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $171K | — | Raiders $5.8K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cardinals $1.1K |