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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
solwizzo-onXCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)67% (282–136, n=418)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$7.9K$4.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (20 of 27 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)52% (56 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +7 pts n=156, ROI +7%
  • NBA +13 pts n=34, ROI 0%
  • Finance +8 pts n=85, ROI +4%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −4 pts, n=28———
Settled positions, side won57% of 460 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 7% of 166)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 49% of 43)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 77% of 47)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 95% of 204)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsolwizzo-onXCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $467—Yes $3.0K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $2.3K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $814—Yes $967—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25—Yes $164—