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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
takeormakeBreakTheBankCORGII00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)55% (2310–1925, n=4235)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$986K$10.6M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #25PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus54% (44 of 81 open)72% (78 of 108 open)0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 33% of 220)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 84% of 413)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)0%
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 96% of 918)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 506)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettakeormakeBreakTheBankCORGII00gringo00
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $19KBills $378K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $5.3KBills $51K——
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.4KBills $2.1K——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $951Yes $193——
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $75KRaiders $171K——
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $34KRaiders $104K——
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $17Magic $76K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $59K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.0KMagic $51K——
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $28KRaiders $24K——
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $985Cardinals $35K——
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $6.8KMagic $24K——