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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
takeormakeCORGIIbeachboy4primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (2310–1925, n=4235)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$986K$4.5M$5.8M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #25PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus58% (37 of 64 open)0% (0 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)59% (17 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 33% of 220)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 84% of 413)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 96% of 918)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 506)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettakeormakeCORGIIbeachboy4primm
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3K——Bills $4.8K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.5K——Bills $4.5K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $2.0K——Bills $988
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $51——Under $2.8K
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $41——Under $809
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $109——Ravens $295
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $74——Under $65
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $6.9K——Ravens $696
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.6K——Ravens $376
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $78——Over $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $194——Jaguars $4