← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| themagicofcinema | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (397–159, n=556) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #635 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 88% (130 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −6 pts, n=15 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 496 at avg 71¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 5% of 97) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 38% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 76% of 45) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 98% of 325) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | themagicofcinema | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $10 | — | — | No $25K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | — | Yes $14K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $68 | — | — | Yes $10K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $55 | — | — | Yes $9.3K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | — | Yes $9.3K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | — | — | Yes $5.0K |