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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| topdogbigboi | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (3528–4316, n=7844) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $435 | $4.4M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (55 of 91 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 60% (28 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 97% of 112) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 257) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 313) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 471) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | topdogbigboi | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $288 | — | — | No $3.3K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $250 | — | — | Falcons $2.7K |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3 | — | — | Over $542 |
| Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $178 | — | — | No $227 |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $215 | — | — | Under $30 |
| Will CA Grau win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $99 | — | — | Yes $22 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-13.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $410 | — | — | Cardinals $11K |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | Steelers $569 | — | — | Steelers $9.1K |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3 | — | — | Under $9.2K |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $3 | — | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $27 | — | — | No $2.2K |
| Will CA Grau vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $30 | — | — | No $5 |