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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| twinna | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (96–96, n=192) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $72K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #406 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (17 of 22 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 65% (17 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −7 pts, n=103 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 207 at avg 47¢, ROI +8% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 15% of 39) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 48% of 79) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 61% of 64) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 88% of 25) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | twinna | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | — | No $35K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $395 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $4.8K | — | No $590 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $291 | — | No $747 | — |