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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xtxpleasecallme | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 29% (6317–15832, n=22149) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $125K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (52 of 105 open) | 85% (55 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (13 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=51 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 6593 at avg 29¢, ROI +9% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 65% (won 9% of 4315) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 67% of 504) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 89% of 449) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 99% of 1325) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | xtxpleasecallme | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $455 | Yes $81K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $49 | Yes $45K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $171 | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $289 | No $34K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $176 | No $698K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $386 | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $82K | — | Commanders $65 |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | — | Commanders $125 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $128 | Yes $30K | — | — |