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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| zerosmart | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (61–64, n=125) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $876K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 61% (77 of 126 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −7 pts, n=26 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 137 at avg 46¢, ROI +29% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 13% of 45) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 37% of 30) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 60% of 30) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 91% of 32) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | zerosmart | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $79 | Browns $300K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $3.2K | Browns $259K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Jets $245 | Raiders $105K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.2K | Bills $35K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $18 | Cardinals $32K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.5K | Falcons $8.6K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $569 | Cardinals $2.7K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $37K | — | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | — | Yes $71K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $6.1K | — | No $40K | — |