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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
zxc368BreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)99% (13369–172, n=13541)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$232K$10.6M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #739PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (9 of 9 open)72% (79 of 109 open)0% (0 of 4 open)57% (88 of 154 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto ±0 pts, n=276———
Settled positions, side won99% of 10006 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 16% of 86)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 67% of 18)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 80% of 10)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 100% of 9892)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketzxc368BreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297K—Steelers $1.9K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255K—Steelers $6.0K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $12K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17K—Jets $109
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4K
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $507——No $18
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11——Under $6
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $22K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104K—Raiders $4.3K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Bills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51K—Magic $228
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Raiders $2.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20K—Jaguars $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $161
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $141——Under $1.8K
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1——Over $44
SSC Napoli leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $15——No $4