Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
26
Over 95%
$2.4K
$3.0K
Smart Money Signal
21 of 26 top traders (81%)21 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 48.5Β’ | $7.6K | $1.5K | $-6.1K | 51% 25823-24512 (50335) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Underavg 53.2Β’ | $325.63 | $611.54 | +$285.91 | 51% 1905-1854 (3759) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Overavg 50.2Β’ | $390.66 | $319.33 | -$71.32 | 50% 21206-21476 (42682) |
SE sentrioCTR | Overavg 49.9Β’ | $217.26 | $5.26 | -$212 | 50% 25844-25552 (51396) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 36.5Β’ | $11.08 | $1.61 | -$9.46 | 47% 11750-13484 (25234) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR | Overavg 48.8Β’ | $908.31 | $0.01 | -$728.89 | 58% 46729-33688 (80417) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 39Β’ | $33.76 | β | -$33.76 | 53% 23655-20823 (44478) |
![]() 0xheavy888 | Underavg 49Β’ | $196 | β | +$4 | 56% 7923-6330 (14253) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 50.2Β’ | $67.33 | β | -$67.33 | 53% 1442-1288 (2730) |
HI hi774cCTR | Overavg 50Β’ | $1.1K | β | $-1.1K | 46% 5201-6053 (11254) |
VE VenusianCTR | Overavg 50.2Β’ | $107.53 | β | -$107.53 | 51% 1398-1364 (2762) |
NM NM-PCTR | Overavg 50.3Β’ | $390 | β | -$390 | 64% 9930-5532 (15462) |
GC GC-PCTR | Overavg 50.4Β’ | $302.5 | β | -$302.5 | 64% 9971-5600 (15571) |
1L 1l2ihj34li12u34 | Underavg 51.3Β’ | $22.6K | β | +$21.4K | 49% 197-201 (398) |
OD OddstormCTR<$100 | Overavg 50.2Β’ | $17.27 | β | -$17.27 | 48% 7398-7930 (15328) |
![]() Reformedx | Underavg 52.2Β’ | $1.6K | β | +$2.4K | 51% 870-839 (1709) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Overavg 39.8Β’ | $195.69 | β | -$148.94 | 54% 9751-8144 (17895) |
![]() nigiri99CTR | Overavg 50.2Β’ | $5.0K | β | $-5.0K | 46% 8596-10247 (18843) |
MI MinevaJCTR | Overavg 22Β’ | $157.52 | β | -$133.56 | 56% 1140-886 (2026) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Overavg 50.2Β’ | $330.28 | β | -$330.28 | 51% 1393-1314 (2707) |
AY ay118CTR | Overavg 49Β’ | $1.8K | β | $-1.8K | 43% 50-66 (116) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 44Β’ | $162.43 | β | -$162.43 | 48% 61256-66065 (127321) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Overavg 50.2Β’ | $1.7K | β | $-1.7K | 50% 1340-1327 (2667) |
FE fekefeeCTR | Overavg 49Β’ | $2.4K | β | $-2.4K | 95% 35-2 (37) |
![]() rayvanmechelen<$100 | Underavg 50Β’ | $20 | β | +$20 | 53% 2581-2270 (4851) |
Invested
$7,582.07
Value
$1.5K
PnL
$-6.1K
Record
51%
25823-24512 (50335)
Invested
$325.63
Value
$611.54
PnL
+$285.91
Record
51%
1905-1854 (3759)
Invested
$390.66
Value
$319.33
PnL
-$71.32
Record
50%
21206-21476 (42682)
Invested
$217.26
Value
$5.26
PnL
-$212
Record
50%
25844-25552 (51396)
Invested
$11.08
Value
$1.61
PnL
-$9.46
Record
47%
11750-13484 (25234)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$908.31
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$728.89
Record
58%
46729-33688 (80417)
Invested
$33.76
Value
β
PnL
-$33.76
Record
53%
23655-20823 (44478)
0xheavy888Invested
$196
Value
β
PnL
+$4
Record
56%
7923-6330 (14253)
Invested
$67.33
Value
β
PnL
-$67.33
Record
53%
1442-1288 (2730)
Invested
$1,077.04
Value
β
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
46%
5201-6053 (11254)
Invested
$107.53
Value
β
PnL
-$107.53
Record
51%
1398-1364 (2762)
Invested
$390
Value
β
PnL
-$390
Record
64%
9930-5532 (15462)
Invested
$302.5
Value
β
PnL
-$302.5
Record
64%
9971-5600 (15571)
Invested
$22,601.77
Value
β
PnL
+$21.4K
Record
49%
197-201 (398)
Invested
$17.27
Value
β
PnL
-$17.27
Record
48%
7398-7930 (15328)
ReformedxInvested
$1,567.49
Value
β
PnL
+$2.4K
Record
51%
870-839 (1709)
Invested
$195.69
Value
β
PnL
-$148.94
Record
54%
9751-8144 (17895)
nigiri99CTRInvested
$4,959.63
Value
β
PnL
$-5.0K
Record
46%
8596-10247 (18843)
Invested
$157.52
Value
β
PnL
-$133.56
Record
56%
1140-886 (2026)
Invested
$330.28
Value
β
PnL
-$330.28
Record
51%
1393-1314 (2707)
Invested
$1,849.75
Value
β
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
43%
50-66 (116)
Invested
$162.43
Value
β
PnL
-$162.43
Record
48%
61256-66065 (127321)
Invested
$1,716.52
Value
β
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
50%
1340-1327 (2667)
Invested
$2,445.1
Value
β
PnL
$-2.4K
Record
95%
35-2 (37)
rayvanmechelen<$100Invested
$20
Value
β
PnL
+$20
Record
53%
2581-2270 (4851)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
CTROver β $1.5K
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
Under β $611.54
omnibus-076daa
CTROver β $319.33
sentrio
CTROver β $5.26
topdogbigboi
CTROver β $1.61

VeryLucky888
CTROver β $0.01
cigarettes
CTROver β $0

0xheavy888
Under β $0
Limousin
CTROver β $0
hi774c
CTROver β $0