Panthers vs. Bruins

11 of 33 top Polymarket traders hold Bruins (33%) · Bruins at 92¢ · $70K held · ended Nov 8

Panthers9¢Bruins91¢Ended Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Bruins

Consensus Traders

Bruins 33%

Total Value

$70.1K

Combined PnL

$10.2K

Smart Money Entry

60.1¢ → 91.5¢

+52% since entry · 11 traders

Research grade

NeutralBruins at 92%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Bruins

11 of 33 top traders (33%)22 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Panthers9%

Bruins92%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Bruins11 traders

Total Value$63.2K

Total Shares73,547

Combined PnL+$18.9K

Panthers22 traders

Total Value$6.9K

Total Shares47,804

Combined PnL$-8.7K

Bruins — 33%Panthers — 67%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

-72 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 95%

Freshness

Fresh

2h old

Flip Quality

Watch

1 consensus flip

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

28% of non-arb traders are on Bruins. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 95% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whalePanthers 86% · 7

Diverging

ctrPanthers 72% · 18

Diverging

Hand-pickedPanthers 100% · 3

Diverging

Top 1000Panthers 71% · 24

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TA taylorsversion	Bruinsavg 59¢	$40.0K	$57.9K	+$18.0K	49% 146-151 (297)
JU justaluckydude	Bruinsavg 65.9¢	$1.7K	$2.3K	+$609.73	53% 13661-12046 (25707)
0xheavy888CTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$4.7K	$1.7K	$-3.0K	56% 8753-6943 (15696)
nigiri99CTR	Panthersavg 43¢	$3.0K	$1.1K	$-1.9K	45% 14423-17722 (32145)
HI hi774cCTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$1.1K	$1.0K	-$33.86	46% 5617-6532 (12149)
VeryLucky888CTR	Panthersavg 42.6¢	$4.2K	$1.0K	$-3.2K	59% 52363-37089 (89452)
OJ ojg	Bruinsavg 89.1¢	$996.98	$1.0K	+$37.97	51% 3968-3783 (7751)
38 38791873984189	Bruinsavg 69¢	$685.94	$699.62	+$135.88	48% 70249-75962 (146211)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Panthersavg 43¢	$614.51	$560.3	-$54.22	46% 33351-38883 (72234)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$569.1	$551.32	-$17.78	54% 19973-16852 (36825)
PA Pan9X	Bruinsavg 76.4¢	$536.1	$451.42	+$57.6	52% 27203-24713 (51916)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Bruinsavg 85.6¢	$344.38	$319.97	-$24.4	53% 15485-13736 (29221)
LI LimousinCTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$429.39	$316.93	-$112.46	49% 2142-2260 (4402)
DA darkumbreon88	Bruinsavg 59¢	$205.6	$304.91	+$99.31	64% 2142-1184 (3326)
SN SnakeBallCTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$109.34	$105.93	-$3.42	50% 48547-48163 (96710)
GA Gaditima<$100	Bruinsavg 81¢	$81	$92.5	+$11.5	47% 8628-9767 (18395)
SE sentrioCTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$226.24	$85.53	-$140.71	50% 27934-27381 (55315)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Panthersavg 43.1¢	$78.42	$74.42	-$3.99	50% 23449-23463 (46912)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$64	$62	-$2	50% 2205-2180 (4385)
WE westing.v1CTR	Panthersavg 43.5¢	$155.51	$55.44	-$100.07	50% 61-62 (123)
0X 0xfC0847fe2Ea938D6e2624650eB29eF8d8142A137-1771999665274<$100	Bruinsavg 95.8¢	$43.1	$40.28	-$2.82	55% 425-352 (777)
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Panthersavg 14.2¢	$50.17	$30.01	-$20.17	51% 47136-44473 (91609)
PT PT-S7CTR<$100	Panthersavg 36.1¢	$70.88	$28.45	-$42.43	46% 3487-4033 (7520)
yabanci<$100	Bruinsavg 71¢	$21.32	$25.65	+$4.35	51% 99-96 (195)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Panthersavg 13¢	$28.19	$19.52	-$8.67	48% 2117-2339 (4456)

taylorsversion

Bruins

Invested

$39,966.15

Value

$57.9K

PnL

+$18.0K

Record

49%

146-151 (297)

justaluckydude

Bruins

Invested

$1,703.5

Value

$2.3K

PnL

+$609.73

Record

53%

13661-12046 (25707)

0xheavy888CTR

Panthers

Invested

$4,694.12

Value

$1.7K

PnL

$-3.0K

Record

56%

8753-6943 (15696)

nigiri99CTR

Panthers

Invested

$3,048.26

Value

$1.1K

PnL

$-1.9K

Record

45%

14423-17722 (32145)

hi774cCTR

Panthers

Invested

$1,083.43

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$33.86

Record

46%

5617-6532 (12149)

VeryLucky888CTR

Panthers

Invested

$4,224.61

Value

$1.0K

PnL

$-3.2K

Record

59%

52363-37089 (89452)

ojg

Bruins

Invested

$996.98

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$37.97

Record

51%

3968-3783 (7751)

38791873984189

Bruins

Invested

$685.94

Value

$699.62

PnL

+$135.88

Record

48%

70249-75962 (146211)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Panthers

Invested

$614.51

Value

$560.3

PnL

-$54.22

Record

46%

33351-38883 (72234)

HomeRunHazardCTR

Panthers

Invested

$569.1

Value

$551.32

PnL

-$17.78

Record

54%

19973-16852 (36825)

Pan9X

Bruins

Invested

$536.1

Value

$451.42

PnL

+$57.6

Record

52%

27203-24713 (51916)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Bruins

Invested

$344.38

Value

$319.97

PnL

-$24.4

Record

53%

15485-13736 (29221)

LimousinCTR

Panthers

Invested

$429.39

Value

$316.93

PnL

-$112.46

Record

49%

2142-2260 (4402)

darkumbreon88

Bruins

Invested

$205.6

Value

$304.91

PnL

+$99.31

Record

64%

2142-1184 (3326)

SnakeBallCTR

Panthers

Invested

$109.34

Value

$105.93

PnL

-$3.42

Record

50%

48547-48163 (96710)

Gaditima<$100

Bruins

Invested

$81

Value

$92.5

PnL

+$11.5

Record

47%

8628-9767 (18395)

sentrioCTR

Panthers

Invested

$226.24

Value

$85.53

PnL

-$140.71

Record

50%

27934-27381 (55315)

omnibus-076daaCTR

Panthers

Invested

$78.42

Value

$74.42

PnL

-$3.99

Record

50%

23449-23463 (46912)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

Panthers

Invested

$64

Value

$62

PnL

-$2

Record

50%

2205-2180 (4385)

westing.v1CTR

Panthers

Invested

$155.51

Value

$55.44

PnL

-$100.07

Record

50%

61-62 (123)

0xfC0847fe2Ea938D6e2624650eB29eF8d8142A137-1771999665274<$100

Bruins

Invested

$43.1

Value

$40.28

PnL

-$2.82

Record

55%

425-352 (777)

FlaznorpCTR<$100

Panthers

Invested

$50.17

Value

$30.01

PnL

-$20.17

Record

51%

47136-44473 (91609)

PT-S7CTR<$100

Panthers

Invested

$70.88

Value

$28.45

PnL

-$42.43

Record

46%

3487-4033 (7520)

yabanci<$100

Bruins

Invested

$21.32

Value

$25.65

PnL

+$4.35

Record

51%

99-96 (195)

VenusianCTR<$100

Panthers

Invested

$28.19

Value

$19.52

PnL

-$8.67

Record

48%

2117-2339 (4456)

Research grade

NeutralBruins at 92%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Bruins

11 of 33 top traders (33%)22 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

-72 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 95%

Freshness

Fresh

2h old

Flip Quality

Watch

1 consensus flip

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

28% of non-arb traders are on Bruins. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 95% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whalePanthers 86% · 7

Diverging

ctrPanthers 72% · 18

Diverging

Hand-pickedPanthers 100% · 3

Diverging

Top 1000Panthers 71% · 24

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Bruins wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance92.8%

91.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$7.70

Max Loss

-$100.00

107.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.