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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)43% (2610–3503, n=6113)45% (547–663, n=1210)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$92K$11.0M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #449PM monthly #1PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (20 of 38 open)67% (76 of 114 open)60% (61 of 101 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Weather +2 pts n=147, ROI +2%
  • NBA +8 pts n=16, ROI +8%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Mentions ±0 pts, n=925——
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%37% of 3253 at avg 37¢, ROI −3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%54% (won 3% of 1749)10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%14% (won 43% of 463)36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)4% (won 61% of 140)35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%28% (won 97% of 901)19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616BreakTheBankRN1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.3KNo $265K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6KYes $77K—
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $77Yes $36K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.6KYes $20K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.2KYes $4.2K—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $39No $737—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9.2KYes $287K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $183K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $182No $22K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.3KNo $607—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
—Yes $958Yes $1.4K—