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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo0038791873984189beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)46% (6364–7560, n=13924)67% (43–21, n=64)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$360K$6.1M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #943was PM monthly #24PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (206 of 416 open)100% (1 of 1 open)44% (18 of 41 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=391NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%18% (won 7% of 326)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%64% (won 48% of 1149)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)9% (won 64% of 162)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%9% (won 90% of 164)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo0038791873984189beachboy4RN1
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Edas Butvilas
opposite sides · consensus Laslo Djere
—Edas Butvilas $603—Laslo Djere $3.1K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Athletic Club $22—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $163—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6—Over $1.5K
Chennai Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mai Hontama
opposite sides · consensus Mananchaya Sawangkaew
—Mananchaya Sawangkaew $448—Mai Hontama $692
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $101—Over $382
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $142—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
M25 Valencia: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Iannis Miletich
opposite sides · consensus Iannis Miletich
—Iannis Miletich $2—Svyatoslav Gulin $95
Luanda: Gina Feistel vs Linda Klimovicova
same side · consensus Linda Klimovicova
—Gina Feistel $1.1K—Gina Feistel $18K
Chennai Open: Jodie Burrage vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Vaishnavi Adkar
—Jodie Burrage $984—Jodie Burrage $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $465—Over $2.9K
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester United FC
—Manchester United FC $685—Manchester United FC $2.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $2.5K
Taranto: Ryan Peniston vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Ryan Peniston
—Ryan Peniston $303—Ryan Peniston $609
M25 Heraklion: Etienne Donnet vs Oleksii Krutykh
same side · consensus Oleksii Krutykh
—Oleksii Krutykh $380—Oleksii Krutykh $508
Bratislava 2: Eero Vasa vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
same side · consensus Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
—Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg $305—Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg $313
Taranto: Raul Brancaccio vs Kilian Feldbausch
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Raul Brancaccio $78—Raul Brancaccio $167
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116—Yes $7
Chennai Open: Rada Zolotareva vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
—Rada Zolotareva $6—Rada Zolotareva $30