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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357RN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (576–518, n=1094)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$595K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #70PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)57% (86 of 151 open)no open consensus position73% (79 of 108 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMMA −8 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won58% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 26% of 119)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 54% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 63% of 322)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up13% (won 90% of 128)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357RN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9K—Browns $297K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $6.0K—Browns $255K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $6.0K—Raiders $171K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12K—Cardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $423—Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $2.7K—Falcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $3.0K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $22K—Bills $378K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3K—Raiders $104K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18K—Bills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228—Magic $50K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $808—Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.2K—Raiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.1K—Jaguars $20K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161—Magic $13K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——Yes $2.3K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $303——Yes $28