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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 42% (124–169, n=293) | 62% (13–8, n=21) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $7.3K | $172K | -$16K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #481 | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #73 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (6 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (27 of 36 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | College Football −5 pts, n=37 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 316 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 13% (won 20% of 40) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 9% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 37% (won 45% of 117) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 27% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 49% (won 61% of 156) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 64% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | — | Jazz $17K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $19K | — | Under $742 | — |
| Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | — | — | Western Michigan $12K | Akron $109 |
| Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo opposite sides · consensus Marko Topo | Dali Blanch $37 | — | Marko Topo $1.8K | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Jessica Pegula | Jessica Pegula $3.5K | — | Jessica Pegula $17K | — |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $3.9K | — | Elmer Moeller $12K | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) same side · consensus Kent State | Kent State $192 | — | Kent State $1.2K | — |