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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465AppleTiimekeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)49% (40–41, n=81)100% (1–0, n=1)42% (124–173, n=297)62% (13–8, n=21)
Consensus PnL-$397K$7.3K$124K-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #36PM monthly #481PM monthly #39PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)no open consensus position75% (33 of 44 open)17% (1 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +16 pts n=20, ROI +15%
  • Esports +5 pts n=63, ROI +3%
  • NFL +4 pts n=68, ROI +5%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21College Football −5 pts, n=37——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%50% of 316 at avg 47¢, ROI +3%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)13% (won 20% of 40)6% (won 100% of 9)9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)37% (won 45% of 117)42% (won 100% of 63)27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)49% (won 61% of 156)40% (won 100% of 61)64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)1% (won 67% of 3)12% (won 100% of 18)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465AppleTiimekeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
Kent State $192—Kent State $1.2KBowling Green $1.6K
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $52K—Jazz $17K—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $18K—Under $742—
Kent State vs. Bowling Green
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
——Kent State $8.6KBowling Green $9.1K
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $16KOver $372
Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan
——Western Michigan $12KAkron $113
Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
——Kent State $2.8KBowling Green $4.1K